Merge lane base check: develop 3874033b4648

Merge lane base check: run the full gate on `develop` at `3874033b4648b61598c9e60de372952b60436771` alone and report it certified or red: nothing had certified it since the last attempt. A red verdict files a fix task; it never holds the lane. Filed by the control plane (`app/merge_lane.py::_certify_idle`). How: run `python3 tools/merge_lane.py run` once. It takes this check's batch, gates that commit with the full gate in its sandbox and reports `certified` or `develop_red` itself. Never run the gate by hand: a hand-run green reports nothing, so no certificate is recorded.

develop 3874033b4648 certified: full gate green via merge_lane.py run (67000 passed, 0 failed); nothing ejected, develop not red.